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Kentucky sues

Kentucky sued both Kalshi and Polymarket in June, alleging they ran illegal sports betting businesses without a state license.

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Illinois cease-and-desist

The Illinois Gaming Board issued cease-and-desist letters to Kalshi and then Polymarket US, the second arriving January 27.

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Minnesota's ban

Minnesota enacted a first-in-the-nation prediction-market ban effective August 1; Kalshi and Polymarket sought an injunction to block it.

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Polymarket's US pivot

Polymarket's CEO confirmed a US return through acquiring QCEX, a CFTC-regulated exchange, giving it a domestic regulated entity.

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What to watch

Rulings from federal courts in Minnesota and the CFTC's pending rule, expected to define which sports contracts stay legal.

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