As of August 7, 2026, Polymarket resolves timed crypto contracts using a time-weighted average price instead of one instant price snapshot.
TWAP oracles are already standard on DEXs like Uniswap because sustaining a fake price over time is far more expensive than spiking it for a second.
The switch comes with a $1 million liquidity rewards program aimed at deepening trading activity on the affected crypto markets.
As prediction markets attract more real money on crypto price outcomes, settlement design is becoming as important to their credibility as the odds themselves.
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