If Warsh hints at upcoming rate cuts or easing inflation concerns, Bitcoin could rally above $80,000. Risk assets thrive when real rates (bond yields minus inflation) fall.
A middle-ground speech acknowledging both resilience and risks could keep Bitcoin consolidating in the $77,000–$79,000 range without fresh directional catalyst.
Emphasis on persistent inflation or labor-market strength could trigger profit-taking. BTC could test support at $77,000–$76,500, with deeper losses if support breaks.
Jackson Hole speeches typically move markets 1–3% on the day but reset expectations for six months ahead. Crypto, being more volatile, often sees 3–8% swings on Fed signals.
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