Post-halving cycles follow 4 phases. Knowing which phase we're in tells you exactly what to do right now.
Halving → first ATH test. April 2024 halving → BTC tested $73K in March 2024 (just before halving). Phase 1 ended early this cycle, unusual but not unprecedented.
Current: months 10–16 post-halving. BTC consolidates below ATH. Sentiment fearful. LTH accumulating. This phase lasts 4–8 months historically. We're at month 14.
BTC breaks ATH ($73K). Media surges. FOMO returns. Altcoins outperform. Historical timing: 6–10 months after consolidation ends. Expected Q3–Q4 2026.
BTC tops $100K–$150K. Extreme Greed (90+). Institutions sell. Most altcoins peak 2–4 weeks after BTC. Then the 70–80% bear market. Plan your exit now.
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