Inflation data shapes Fed rate expectations. Higher inflation = higher rates = lower Bitcoin. Softer inflation = possible rate cuts = potential rally.
Headline inflation expected to moderate, but core inflation (shelter costs) may remain sticky. Markets are pricing in flat-to-lower numbers.
Surprise high print → Fed stays hawkish → risk-off selling → Bitcoin breaks $62,500 support → potential push toward $60K.
Soft print signals cooling inflation → Fed rate cut odds rise → rally likely → Bitcoin targets $66,500–$67K resistance.
Avoid trading 15 minutes before or after 8:30 a.m. ET release (slippage huge). Wait 5 minutes for volatility to settle, then act on the direction confirmed.
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