crypto
02

One Day of Flows = Zero Signal

A single day of $50M outflow tells you nothing about demand. Flows depend on who's rebalancing, which funds are in lockup, and quarterly redemptions.

crypto
03

Watch Multi-Week Rolling Totals Instead

A 4-week rolling total of inflows or outflows shows real demand patterns. Single days and weekly snapshots are dominated by noise and rebalancing.

crypto
04

The Real Question: Volume at Breakout Points

When Bitcoin approaches $66,000 or $62,000, ask whether flows are improving. That's what matters. Flows away from key technical levels are meaningless.

crypto
05

Assets Under Management Confusion

Don't mistake rising AUM for inflows. AUM grows when Bitcoin price rises even with zero new flows. Always check net flows, not AUM totals.

crypto
06

The Real Flow Indicator: Spot Volume

Use spot volume (not derivatives) as your primary signal. ETF flows matter only to confirm what on-chain and price data already show.

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