Bitcoin needs +52% from $65,679. Post-halving timing says Q3–Q4 2026. Here is the evidence for and against that timeline.
We are 14 months post the April 2024 halving. Every prior halving saw ATHs within 12–18 months. The window is open right now.
Bitcoin ETFs buy 1,000–3,000 BTC daily. Only 450 new BTC are mined per day. ETFs absorb 2–6x the daily new supply. Price must go up.
A rate cut signal at September 2026 FOMC could be the trigger. When Fed pivoted in Nov 2023, BTC went from $35K to $73K in 4 months.
Bull: $100K by Sep 2026. Base: $100K by Dec 2026. Bear: $100K delayed to early 2027. September FOMC is the decision point.
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